2020 NFL Draft: Sleepers + Busts

Wonder’s Top 50 discusses some of the players who are undervalued and overvalued. Everything is value in the Draft. Jerry Reese failed (2008+) in the Draft because he consistently overdrafted. His Round 3 selections were a collection of misses. Last year, Gettleman made the Giants draft with his Round 5 selection of WR Darius Slayton, whom we immediately tweeted that Saturday… “LOVE HIS UPSIDE. These are the guys who can make it at the next level.” Here are some more later round guys who can make it in the NFL..

SLEEPERS

We reviewed underrated players who are in our Top 50: Chase Claypool, Cam Akers, Antoine Winfield, AJ Dillon, Jeff Gladney, Logan Wilson, Kyle Dugger, Jeremy Chinn. Anfernee Jennings, Terrell Lewis. See the comments linked in the previous post.

Additional Sleepers not in our Top 50…

DE Curtis Weaver. Underrated pass rusher, end of R3 early R4. Boise State. 4-3 DE, I would not play him at 3-4 OLB. Gets up the field. Can hold the edge.

G Netane Muti. Fresno State. NASTY! Short arms will make him fall in the Draft, but can play in a phone booth and I love these guys. Get him for a song in R5 or R6. Depth! Maybe a starter long term.

G/C Keith Ismael. San Diego State. Versatility. Phone Booth. Nasty! Tough, won’t take sh*t. Cheap, may surprise as a starter. Think of all the R5 R6 and R7 busts there are year after year, then think about getting a cheap piece of OL depth like Ismael or Muti to help you when one of your starters goes down.

WR Quez Watkins. Love this guy. Weird body, a little over 6′ tall. Strong hands, but weighs 185 lbs, too lean, will get cut in half in the NFL. But between getting coached up and bulked up, you may have something. Can make it on Specials as a gunner or returner too while you wait. Blazing speed. Go for guys with potential in later rounds, because they aren’t making it anyway so here’s one with a shot.

WR Joe Reed. Virginia. Good (not great) speed, Strong, possession receiver on 3rd down to move the sticks. Needs help with technique but has the potential to make it.

BUSTS– Underperformers

There are no big busts forecasted this year. Will there be some Round 1 disappointments? Of course there will be. There always are. We just cannot predict any this year. In prior years Wonder panned names like Andre Smith, Chris Williams and Cyrus Kouandjio. Oh, the grief I got on Twitter from a Bills fan (Alabama Fan?) who ripped us for being negative on Big Cy. Well, he “fell,” was drafted in Round 2 at 2.44 and managed to put together a grand total of 8 starts in his fizzled career, 5 of which were when Cordy Glenn was hurt.

Ross Blacklock, Yetur Gross-Matos, Zack Baun and AJ Epenesa are overrated. You draft a guy in Round 1 .. he better be a stud or a solid QB prospect to be developed. These guys can play in the NFL but our draft analyst Wonder thinks the teams that take them will be disappointed because they will not be able to make the kind of impact you want from Round 1 draft capital. We suspect some will not go in Round 1. If you get these guys in Round 3 you will be happy, but they are expected to go early. No thank you. They are not busts. They are just players who are hyped up for more than we see as value. An example in this category from years gone by for Giants fans is Prince Amukamara. We had him ranked 35th on our board and the Gmen took him at 1.19. Bust? NO. But worth a round 1 pick? No. That’s where we think Blacklock, Gross-Matos, Baun and Epenesa are. Let them fall.

QB Jordan Love may be overdrafted. We have him a 38 on our Board, but caution that he is a Round 2 project, not a Round 1 stud. Can he make it? Perhaps. But the risk is there so that you want to preserve your draft capital for other players on Thursday.

 

 

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s